Warriors vs. Pelicans Pick and Prediction – 3/28/2025

Golden State Warriors (41-31) vs. New Orleans Pelicans (20-53)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Tickets: As low as $21
TV: N/A

Previous Games:

  • Warriors: Lost 112-86 to Miami

  • Pelicans: Won 112-99 over Philadelphia

Head-to-Head:

The Warriors have historically dominated the Pelicans, but New Orleans has managed to cover the spread in 4 of the last 10 matchups. Golden State will look to snap a two-game losing streak, while New Orleans continues to play for pride with no playoff hopes.

Golden State Warriors Breakdown:

The Warriors are fighting to improve their playoff positioning in the Western Conference, sitting 7th. They are coming off a tough loss to the Heat but still have one of the best offenses in the league, led by the sharpshooting Stephen Curry. Golden State's offense is strong, but they will need to improve defensively, as they've been inconsistent in that department recently.

Key Players:

  • Stephen Curry: 24.1 PTS, 6.0 AST

  • Kevon Looney: 6.2 REB

  • Klay Thompson: 19.3 PTS

New Orleans Pelicans Breakdown:

The Pelicans, already eliminated from postseason contention, have struggled throughout the season and are dealing with several key injuries, including Zion Williamson (questionable). New Orleans has been inconsistent, but they’ve shown flashes of potential in recent games, particularly in their win against the 76ers. With limited scoring depth, they’ll need a standout performance from CJ McCollum and others to compete with the Warriors.

Key Players:

  • CJ McCollum: 21.1 PTS

  • Karlo Matkovic: 19 PTS (last game)

  • Zion Williamson: 24.6 PTS, 5.3 AST (questionable)

Betting Trends:

Golden State Warriors:

  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games

  • Under in 4 of their last 6 games

New Orleans Pelicans:

  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs Pacific Division opponents

  • Under in 14 of the last 19 vs Golden State

Exact Score Prediction:

Golden State Warriors 120 – New Orleans Pelicans 105

Our Best Bet:

Golden State Warriors -13.5 (-110)

While Golden State is coming off two tough losses, they remain the stronger team on both sides of the court. Despite their recent struggles against the spread, they should cover this large line against a Pelicans team with limited firepower and several injuries. Expect the Warriors to bounce back with a solid road win, especially against a team already eliminated from playoff contention.

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