Thunder vs. Kings Picks and Prediction – 3/25/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder (59-12) vs. Sacramento Kings (35-35)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Thunder: 103-101 win against the LA Clippers

  • Kings: 114-108 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks

Head-to-Head:

Oklahoma City has been dominant in this matchup, covering the -9.5 line in 2 consecutive games against Sacramento.

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

Oklahoma City is the top team in the NBA and the Western Conference, riding a six-game win streak. They have an explosive offense, averaging 120.1 points per game, and their defense is also solid. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the driving force, and with Isaiah Hartenstein anchoring the rebounding efforts, the Thunder are a tough opponent for any team.

Key Players:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 32.9 points, 6.3 assists per game

  • Isaiah Hartenstein: 11.1 rebounds per game

  • Jalen Williams: 15.3 points, 3.2 assists per game

Sacramento Kings Breakdown:

Sacramento is on the fringe of the playoff picture, and after a loss to the Bucks, they are looking to get back on track. They have a potent offense, averaging 116.6 points per game, but they have struggled defensively. The Kings rely on DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, and Domantas Sabonis, but their recent form (losing 6 of their last 8) could be a problem against a red-hot Thunder team.

Key Players:

  • DeMar DeRozan: 22.2 points per game

  • Zach LaVine: 21.9 points per game

  • Domantas Sabonis: 13.9 rebounds, 6.2 assists per game

Betting Trends:

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games

  • The OVER has cashed in 11 of their last 17 games

Sacramento Kings:

  • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games

  • The OVER has cashed in 7 of their last 9 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 119 – Sacramento Kings 106

Our Best Bet:

Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 (-110)

Oklahoma City is the clear favorite here, and they’ve been covering big spreads, including in their last two games against Sacramento. The Thunder should win by double digits, given their current form and the Kings' struggles.

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