Grizzlies vs. Heat Picks and Prediction – 4/3/2025
Share
Memphis Grizzlies (44-32) vs. Miami Heat (35-41)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
TV: TNT, truTV, Max
Previous Games:
-
Grizzlies: Lost four straight, most recently falling 134-125 to Golden State.
-
Heat: Riding a six-game winning streak, coming off a 124-103 win over Boston.
Head-to-Head:
Memphis has struggled lately, going 2-8 in their last 10 games, while Miami is surging, winning 6 of their last 10. With home-court advantage and momentum on their side, the Heat have a strong case to cover the spread.
Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:
The Grizzlies are averaging 117.7 PPG over their last 10 games but are allowing 121.2 PPG, showing major defensive vulnerabilities. Ja Morant remains their focal point, dropping 36 points in the recent loss to the Warriors. Memphis is struggling against the spread, covering in only 2 of their last 10 games.
Key Players:
-
Ja Morant: 27.4 PPG, 8.2 APG
-
Jaren Jackson Jr.: 20.5 PPG, 7.3 RPG
-
Desmond Bane: 3.0 3PM (43.5%)
Miami Heat Breakdown:
The Heat have tightened up defensively, allowing just 105.4 PPG over their last 10 games. Their efficient shooting (50.3% FG, 81.1% FT) has been a key factor in their winning streak. Tyler Herro leads the way, averaging 23.2 PPG.
Key Players:
-
Tyler Herro: 23.2 PPG, 5.0 APG
-
Bam Adebayo: 19.5 PPG, 10.1 RPG
-
Kel’el Ware: 10.3 RPG
Betting Trends:
Memphis Grizzlies:
-
2-8 SU in their last 10 games.
-
2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.
-
The O/U is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Miami Heat:
-
7-4 SU in their last 11 games.
-
9-2 ATS in their last 11 games.
-
The O/U is 6-5 in their last 11 games.
Exact Score Prediction:
Miami Heat 112 – Memphis Grizzlies 107
Our Best Bet:
Miami Heat +4.5 (-110)
Miami is the hotter team, and Memphis has struggled to cover the spread. With the Heat’s strong defense and Memphis’ inconsistencies, Miami should at least keep this game close and potentially extend their winning streak.