76ers vs. Heat Picks and Prediction – 4/7/2025

Philadelphia 76ers (23-55) vs. Miami Heat (35-43)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • 76ers: Lost 114-109 to Minnesota at home

  • Heat: Lost 121-115 in OT to Milwaukee

Head-to-Head:

The Heat have won 6 of the last 8 matchups versus the 76ers and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games overall. Philadelphia, meanwhile, is on an 11-game losing streak and appears to be going through the motions as the season winds down.

Philadelphia 76ers Breakdown:

The Sixers are in a full tailspin, having dropped 11 straight games while allowing over 121 points per contest in that stretch. Their defense has collapsed, and their offense isn't efficient enough to keep up. Quentin Grimes has been the lone bright spot, averaging nearly 20 PPG recently, but this roster lacks size, experience, and cohesion.

Key Players:

  • Quentin Grimes: 28 PTS in last game, 19.4 PPG in last 10

  • Guerschon Yabusele: 19 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST vs. MIN

  • Lonnie Walker IV: 18 PTS off bench last game

Miami Heat Breakdown:

Miami has clinched a Play-In spot and enters this matchup with much better recent form—6 wins in their last 10 and ranking 11th in defensive efficiency. Despite a tough OT loss to Milwaukee, Bam Adebayo has been dominant on both ends, and the bench continues to provide solid contributions.

Key Players:

  • Bam Adebayo: 31 PTS, 12 REB, 5 AST vs. MIL

  • Alec Burks: 24 PTS, 6 3PM last game

  • Davion Mitchell: 20 PTS, 5 AST

Betting Trends:

Philadelphia 76ers:

  • 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games

  • 0-10 SU in last 10 games

  • 13 of last 18 games have gone OVER

Miami Heat:

  • 9-1 ATS in last 10 games

  • 6-2 SU in last 8 games

  • UNDER in 5 of last 7 vs. Philadelphia

  • 6-1 ATS in last 7 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Miami Heat 116 – Philadelphia 76ers 99

Our Best Bet:

Miami Heat -14.5 (-110)

Why: The 76ers are ice cold, having lost 11 straight and covering the spread in just 1 of their last 10 games. Their defense is collapsing and their offense isn’t keeping pace, especially on the road. Meanwhile, the Heat have quietly become one of the best ATS teams down the stretch (9-1 last 10) and are still jockeying for positioning in the Play-In. Expect a professional, dominant showing at home from Miami against a team just playing out the schedule.

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